Saturday, February 12, 2011

On the subject of Egypt's uprising, ladies and gentlemen of the jury, I put it to you that the fawning and narcissistic gushing of the western media on the subject have fallen short of reality, and that indeed they have overlooked some vital pieces of evidence.
Exhibit A: Many young demonstrators carried or painted on themselves the national flag of Egypt. Not America. Not Anarchism inc. Not trade union banners. These people are very, very patriotic. And Egypt has a young population, with a sizable proportion of young males. Patriotic young males.
Exhibit B: Egypt's economy was in the doldrums before the demonstrations and is in tatters now. The anger at Mubarak was stimulated by increasing poverty, the rising price of food and by the unemployment of a large number of young people. And this in a regime that already heavily subsidises bread and other vital foodstuffs. Being able to vote and air dissent in a free press does not in itself produce agricultural abundance and jobs. Freedom does not automatically produce prosperity.
Exhibit C: Egypt has no oil. Egypt is heavily reliant on aid. Egypt has a large deficit. Egypt has very little in the way of a manufacturing base. No democratic regime can conjure away the problems associated with these things, no matter how nice they are. Niceness produces neither competence nor wealth. It only pleases tender bourgeois hearts who watch from the comfort of their living rooms.
Exhibit D: The price of food is shooting up. The price of oil is going up. The price of metals is skyrocketing. Inflation stalks the world - because of population boom, a growing Chinese middle class, the US treasury's second round of quantitative easing and this year's droughts in Asia.

Ladies and Gentlemen of the jury, I put it to you that, while the Islamic Brotherhood may indeed be as tame and toothless as many claim, there are still other dangers surrounding the creation of a democratic government in a country that has never had a true democracy.
We may not see an Islamic Republic in Egypt.
But we may indeed see a Weimar Republic.

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